Mario Tufano

We live in the
Golden Age of Bull$hit.

Narratives move markets. Stories precede data. And the gap between what we believe and what is true has never been more lucrative—or more dangerous.

"The most dangerous financial instrument ever invented is not a derivative. It's a compelling story told with enough confidence."

— Mario Tufano, The Golden Age of Bull$hit

Themes

Behavioral Finance

How cognitive shortcuts create systematic market inefficiencies that analysts consistently fail to price.

Narrative Economics

The viral spread of economic ideas and how story supersedes signal in the modern information environment.

Psychology of Risk

Why smart people make catastrophically bad bets, and why the market rewards confidence over accuracy.

Credibility Machine

Institutions, credentials, and the performance of expertise in an age of infinite information.

Latest Writing

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Research

9 Published Papers. All Free to Download.

Thought leadership on behavioral finance, narrative economics, and small cap market dynamics — plus the full Visualizing Market Dynamics series from 2023 through 2025.

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The Golden Age of Bull$hit

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